With three weeks of data, championship-style stats start to show themselves, but it’s still at least three weeks before any accuracy starts to reveal itself. Keep in mind that the CFCI has no built in mechanism for differentiating strengths of schedules because SoS is ultimately not necessary by the end of the season as my hypothesis goes.
The CFCI includes only 15 of the AP Top 25 this week.
College Football Champion Index Week 3
+/- Wk. 2 Rank Wk. 3 Rank Team CFCI Wk. 3 CFCI Wk. 2 +/-
0 1 1 Georgia Tech 0.9785 0.9931 -0.0146
4 6 2 Maryland 0.9751 0.9655 0.0096
18 21 3 Florida State 0.9697 0.9102 0.0595
18 22 4 Oklahoma 0.9589 0.91 0.0489
23 28 5 Michigan St. 0.9559 0.8743 0.0816
10 16 6 Arkansas 0.9517 0.9315 0.0202
2 9 7 Oregon 0.946 0.9517 -0.0057
16 24 8 LSU 0.9372 0.8902 0.047
3 12 9 Baylor 0.9353 0.9353 0
9 19 10 Louisville 0.9341 0.9153 0.0188
2 13 11 Arizona 0.9329 0.9327 0.0002
5 17 12 Washington 0.9156 0.9231 -0.0075
7 20 13 Houston 0.9116 0.9115 0.0001
0 14 14 UCF 0.9112 0.9318 -0.0206
-4 11 15 Stanford 0.8921 0.947 -0.0549
9 25 16 Missouri 0.8897 0.8897 0
1 18 17 Michigan 0.8855 0.9196 -0.0341
-13 5 18 Ohio St. 0.8802 0.9691 -0.0889
17 36 19 Oklahoma St. 0.8796 0.8185 0.0611
10 30 20 North Carolina St. 0.8727 0.8718 0.0009
6 27 21 UCLA 0.8655 0.876 -0.0105
-12 10 22 Arizona State 0.8617 0.9471 -0.0854
17 40 23 Minnesota 0.8539 0.793 0.0609
8 32 24 Miami (FL) 0.8437 0.8437 0
9 34 25 Ole Miss 0.8431 0.8244 0.0187
7 33 26 Texas St. 0.8299 0.8298 0.0001
14 41 27 Northwestern 0.8135 0.7908 0.0227
17 45 28 Navy 0.8122 0.7531 0.0591
6 35 29 Auburn 0.8091 0.8193 -0.0102
7 37 30 Clemson 0.7989 0.7989 0
13 44 31 Colorado 0.7775 0.7774 0.0001
-29 3 32 Wisconsin 0.7639 0.9931 -0.2292
15 48 33 North Texas 0.7614 0.7188 0.0426
8 42 34 Texas Tech 0.7568 0.7901 -0.0333
8 43 35 Alabama 0.7543 0.7829 -0.0286
-34 2 36 Marshall 0.7374 0.9931 -0.2557
19 56 37 Southern California 0.7193 0.6452 0.0741
11 49 38 Florida 0.7159 0.7159 0
21 60 39 Utah St. 0.6946 0.6295 0.0651
28 68 40 Cincinnati 0.6896 0.5887 0.1009
12 53 41 Rutgers 0.6658 0.6656 0.0002
30 72 42 West Virginia 0.6578 0.5744 0.0834
-39 4 43 Duke 0.656 0.9894 -0.3334
-29 15 44 Penn St. 0.6505 0.9318 -0.2813
13 58 45 Iowa 0.6491 0.6391 0.01
6 52 46 Virginia Tech 0.6448 0.6668 -0.022
10 57 47 Fresno St. 0.6445 0.6445 0
36 84 48 Kansas St. 0.6396 0.5399 0.0997
13 62 49 Wyoming 0.6367 0.6148 0.0219
15 65 50 Indiana 0.6332 0.6094 0.0238
-22 29 51 Utah 0.6273 0.8741 -0.2468
-29 23 52 Troy 0.6179 0.9058 -0.2879
-27 26 53 Kansas 0.6163 0.8804 -0.2641
15 69 54 South Carolina 0.6145 0.5838 0.0307
20 75 55 Boise St. 0.6136 0.5669 0.0467
7 63 56 BYU 0.6133 0.6131 0.0002
-2 55 57 Arkansas St. 0.6066 0.6531 -0.0465
-51 7 58 Tennessee 0.5957 0.9587 -0.363
5 64 59 La.-Monroe 0.5949 0.6096 -0.0147
6 66 60 South Ala. 0.5904 0.6087 -0.0183
-53 8 61 Bowling Green 0.5872 0.9584 -0.3712
-23 39 62 Nebraska 0.5856 0.7958 -0.2102
14 77 63 UTSA 0.585 0.5588 0.0262
7 71 64 Northern Ill. 0.5806 0.5746 0.006
8 73 65 Georgia 0.5718 0.5718 0
19 85 66 Tulane 0.5693 0.5364 0.0329
41 108 67 Pittsburgh 0.5657 0.3719 0.1938
-30 38 68 Texas A&M 0.5655 0.7965 -0.231
12 81 69 Notre Dame 0.5641 0.5524 0.0117
23 93 70 Washington St. 0.5578 0.4976 0.0602
21 92 71 Rice 0.555 0.5046 0.0504
-25 47 72 Ball St. 0.5432 0.72 -0.1768
1 74 73 Middle Tenn. 0.5431 0.5699 -0.0268
-24 50 74 East Carolina 0.5335 0.7038 -0.1703
-44 31 75 Boston College 0.5334 0.8507 -0.3173
11 87 76 San Jose St. 0.5277 0.5275 0.0002
12 89 77 North Carolina 0.5225 0.5214 0.0011
-32 46 78 Illinois 0.5178 0.7287 -0.2109
-28 51 79 Mississippi St. 0.507 0.6769 -0.1699
11 91 80 SMU 0.5063 0.5062 0.0001
-27 54 81 Kentucky 0.5009 0.6638 -0.1629
-21 61 82 Texas 0.4859 0.6245 -0.1386
28 111 83 La.-Lafayette 0.4818 0.3608 0.121
29 113 84 Syracuse 0.4768 0.3452 0.1316
9 94 85 Oregon St. 0.4605 0.492 -0.0315
-7 79 86 TCU 0.4578 0.5566 -0.0988
11 98 87 Virginia 0.457 0.457 0
-21 67 88 Wake Forest 0.4565 0.6002 -0.1437
10 99 89 Ohio 0.4564 0.4556 0.0008
-10 80 90 Army 0.446 0.5547 -0.1087
-32 59 91 Vanderbilt 0.4432 0.6306 -0.1874
11 103 92 UNLV 0.4422 0.4242 0.018
-17 76 93 Western Ky. 0.4398 0.5627 -0.1229
-24 70 94 New Mexico 0.4368 0.5774 -0.1406
11 106 95 Colorado State 0.4301 0.3802 0.0499
-14 82 96 Louisiana Tech 0.4286 0.5463 -0.1177
15 112 97 Toledo 0.4263 0.3521 0.0742
-15 83 98 Air Force 0.4211 0.5414 -0.1203
5 104 99 Memphis 0.4176 0.4152 0.0024
10 110 100 Fla. Atlantic 0.4106 0.3609 0.0497
-23 78 101 Nevada 0.406 0.5568 -0.1508
-12 90 102 Iowa St. 0.3954 0.5174 -0.122
-17 86 103 Tulsa 0.3769 0.5352 -0.1583
-7 97 104 Eastern Mich. 0.3744 0.4591 -0.0847
-10 95 105 Purdue 0.373 0.4688 -0.0958
-10 96 106 California 0.3722 0.4668 -0.0946
2 109 107 UAB 0.3716 0.3716 0
-7 101 108 Akron 0.3637 0.4415 -0.0778
-21 88 109 Kent St. 0.3626 0.5222 -0.1596
-8 102 110 Central Mich. 0.3506 0.4304 -0.0798
-4 107 111 South Fla. 0.3382 0.3761 -0.0379
-12 100 112 Connecticut 0.3359 0.4551 -0.1192
-8 105 113 Western Mich. 0.3347 0.4119 -0.0772
7 121 114 Buffalo 0.318 0.2841 0.0339
-1 114 115 Idaho 0.3121 0.3321 -0.02
0 116 116 Temple 0.3103 0.3277 -0.0174
1 118 117 San Diego St. 0.3089 0.3088 0.0001
1 119 118 Hawaii 0.308 0.3079 0.0001
-4 115 119 Southern Miss. 0.2885 0.3316 -0.0431
-3 117 120 New Mexico St. 0.2743 0.3123 -0.038
2 123 121 Miami (OH) 0.2633 0.2633 0
-2 120 122 Massachusetts 0.2597 0.2874 -0.0277
-1 122 123 FIU 0.2581 0.267 -0.0089
